Predictive Models for Decennial Census Household Response
نویسنده
چکیده
Abstract. Data-preparation and fitting for a comprehensive model of statewise household response to the 1990 census is described, using a methodology of successive logistic regressions for longitudinally defined response variables, including indicators of response by mail, and enumerator checkin within quantile intervals of enumerator operational time for the ARA containing the household. The explanatory variables consist of geographic and housingtype data aggregated over census block-groups. Results of the data analysis are given for Delaware and North Carolina. Models are validated by refitting models including random effects, and by applying models with variables selected from DE to data for NC. Indicators of response by mail show a much stronger relationship than the checkin-time responses with the explanatory variables, and the indicator of late checkin-times (between the 75 and 90 percentiles) appear slightly more predictable than the earlier checkin-time indicators.
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تاریخ انتشار 1998